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Category: Betting from A to Z
Smart betting usually comes with the right conviction, timing, and even a bit of luck. But when does a bettor make the right call to take a bite of the prices offered by sportsbooks?
The existence of multiple bookmakers worldwide is to give the growing number of sports bettors options as to where they want to place their money and jumpstart a potential long-term sports betting career. The prices offered by these bookies vary, so it is the bettor who still makes the last decision that will decide victory or defeat on his bet.
Take a look at the basic tips as to when the bettor takes the bait of a sportsbook’s price and how to sustain it when making bets on various sports events. Learning the trends and nuances of bookies’ prices goes a long way in sustaining an enjoyable sports betting career.
NEVER OVERLOOK THE PRICE
One of the keys to creating a successful sports betting strategy is to determine the right price in terms of what bookmakers are offering. A successful bettor who knows the right price will never get past this particular detail.
New bettors should get past trying to find the answers to questions like, “Who’s going to win the game?” or “Who is going to score first?” and “What is the score going to be?” Sticking to these questions more likely has bettors end up on the losing end after placing their bets.
New bettors should get past trying to find the answers to questions like, “Who’s going to win the game?” or “Who is going to score first?” and “What is the score going to be?” Sticking to these questions more likely has bettors end up on the losing end after placing their bets.
GETTING THE BEST PRICE LEADS TO A WINNING STRATEGY
Finding the right sportsbook that a bettor can trust takes time, so picking three to four bookies at first and comparing their prices can make you off to a good start.
For example, a bettor who places money on the Phoenix Suns to win at 2.2 would remain a good bet, but you can be tempted if you can win at 2.50 in other bookmakers in betting on the same team. Sticking to 2.25 could be a wise decision despite sacrificing your profits by 50% over the 10 bets.
Take a real hard look at sportsbooks before taking on their price, and not just make that decision since you like the bookies’ site or you still have some cash in that account.
ACCESS TO LIVE BOOKMAKER PRICES HELPS
A bettor can go a long way if he can find a sportsbook that offers direct access to live bookmaker prices, since this will help to quickly view the best odds conveniently, which leads to developing a winning strategy and boosting those profits.
Once a punter has consistently identified those overpriced outcomes, as well as getting the best price possible, chances are you will move closer to that small percentage of becoming a successful sports bettor in no time.
Like students, developing your research habits always helps you to become a successful bettor. By double, or triple-checking those numbers, bettors will find discipline in making the right bets and make good value for their money that will eventually lead to an expanded return on investment.
FINDING EXPECTED VALUE GOES A LONG WAY
The predicted value of a variable is called the Expected Value, or EV. This is the process where a bettor finds a way to measure the probability gap between a bettor’s expectations of the outcome of the event.
And there’s Positive EV betting, which is defined as betting on a play that has a positive probability gap, or Positive Expected Value, between the expectations of punters and the bookmakers’ expectations on the outcome of a certain sports event.
More importantly, for bettors to take the right price from sportsbooks, patience is an important habit to ensure longevity in an evolving sports betting industry. If players do it for the love of the game (that could eventually lead to many championships), bettors should play not just to gamble but to grow their funds and become successful individuals with long-term goals.
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The Memphis Grizzlies (51-27) have a lock on the No.2 seed in the Western Conference and will look to prepare their younger guys for the playoffs as they visit the Nuggets (47-33) at the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, on Thursday. In today’s game, the Nuggets are a 3-point favorite against the Grizzlies. See more predictions in the Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.
BEST ODDS TO BET ON:
- Underdogs: Grizzlies +3 (-110)
- Grizzlies vs Nuggets Over/Under: 232.5 points
For the best odds for today’s games, check out Hollywood bets!
The Nuggets (36-44 ATS) are 4-2 SU in their last six games but are 1-8 ATS in their last nine matches at home. The total has gone UNDER in five of Denver’s last seven outings against Memphis even as the Nuggets are 6-1 SU in their last seven contests when playing at home against the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies (51-27-1 ATS) are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 matches played in April and are 10-5 SU in their last 15 outings on the road even as the total has gone OVER in five of Memphis’ last six contests against an opponent in the Northwest Division. Memphis has won seven of its last eight games but the team is coming off a 115-121 loss to the Utah Jazz on Tuesday.
Denver has won five of its last eight games but it wasted a chance to grab an outright playoff berth after absorbing a 97-116 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. The Nuggets will again rely on MVP candidate Nikola Jokic, who averages 27.0 points, 13.7 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game, along with forward Aaron Gordon (14.9 ppg, 5.9 rpg) and guard Will Barton (14.7 ppg, 4.8 rpg) to formalize their entry into the playoffs.
Final Predictions and Picks:
- Spread — 117 Denver Nuggets – 114 memphis Grizzlies
- Over/Under — OVER 232.5 points
A look at last time’s predictions:
Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls Odds and Picks
Jaylen Brown scored 25 points, Al Horford had 17 and 10 rebounds, while Jayson Tatum added 16 points, 10 boards and eight assists as the Boston Celtics blew past the Chicago Bulls, 117-94, for their third-straight victory and keep them in contention of snatching the No.2 seed in the Eastern Conference.
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Picks
Norman Powell scored 24 points while Paul George had 19 points in three quarters to lift the Los Angeles Clippers to a 113-109 victory over the league-leading Phoenix Suns which served as a timely preparation for the play-in tournament after locking up the No.8 seed in the Western Conference.
For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!
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The Philadelphia 76ers (49-30) attempt to break away from a three-team chase for the No.2 seed in the Eastern Conference when they visit the Raptors (46-33) at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto on Thursday. In today’s game, the Raptors are 1.5-point favorites against the 76ers. See more predictions in the Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.
BEST ODDS TO BET ON:
- Underdogs: 76ers +1.5 (-110)
- 76ers vs Raptors Over/Under: 217.5 points
For the best odds for today’s games, check out Hollywood bets!
The Raptors (45-33-1 ATS) are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games and 17-3 SU in their last 20 when playing at home against the 76ers. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto’s l;ast 19 games, even as the Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight matches against an opponent in the Atlantic Division.
The 76ers (37-41-1 ATS) are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games and are 1-5 ATS in their last six outings even as the total has gone OVER in six of Philadelphia’s last nine contests. Philadelphia is on a three-game winning streak after beating the Indiana Pacers, 121-122, on Tuesday to remain tied with the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks in the race for second place in the East.
The 76ers (37-41-1 ATS) are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games and are 1-5 ATS in their last six outings even as the total has gone OVER in six of Philadelphia’s last nine contests. Philadelphia is on a three-game winning streak after beating the Indiana Pacers, 121-122, on Tuesday to remain tied with the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks in the race for second place in the East.
Final Predictions and Picks:
- Spread — 110 Toronto Raptors – 108 Philadelphia 76ers
- Over/Under — OVER 217.5 points
A look at last time’s predictions:
Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls Odds and Picks
Jaylen Brown scored 25 points, Al Horford had 17 and 10 rebounds, while Jayson Tatum added 16 points, 10 boards and eight assists as the Boston Celtics blew past the Chicago Bulls, 117-94, for their third-straight victory and keep them in contention of snatching the No.2 seed in the Eastern Conference.
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Odds and Picks
Norman Powell scored 24 points while Paul George had 19 points in three quarters to lift the Los Angeles Clippers to a 113-109 victory over the league-leading Phoenix Suns which served as a timely preparation for the play-in tournament after locking up the No.8 seed in the Western Conference.
For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!
BEST ODDS TO BET ON:
The Dallas Mavericks (46-29) resume their chase for the No3 seed in the Western Conference against the fading Golden State Warriors (48-28) as they host the reeling Los Angeles Lakers (31-43) at the American Airlines Center in Texas on Monday. In today’s game, the Mavericks are 11.5-point favorites against the Lakers. See more predictions in the Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.
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- Underdogs: Clippers +3.5 (-110)
- Suns vs Clippers Over/Under: 230 points
For the best odds for today’s games, check out LynxBet!
The Clippers (38-40-1 ATS) are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The total has gone OVER in five of Los Angeles’ last six outings.
The Suns (42-36 ATS) are 4-2 ATS in their last six matches even as the total has gone OVER in eight of Phoenix’s last 12 outings. Phoenix tries to bounce back from back-to-back losses after coming off a 96-117 decision to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday.
Los Angeles will carry the momentum of a two-game winning run after taking down the New Orleans Pelicans, 119-100, on Saturday as they brace for the play-in tournament with the lock on the No.8 seed. The Clippers are rejuvenated with the return of Paul George, who has averaged 24.6 points and 5.5 assists per game since his return from injury, while he is backed up by Reggie Jackson (17.1 ppg) and leading rebounder Ivica Zubac (8.4 rpg, 10.2 ppg).
Final Predictions and Picks:
- Spread —124 Los Angeles Clippers – 121 Phoenix Suns
- Over/Under — OVER 230 points
For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!
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The Boston Celtics (48-30) seek to break out of a three-team tie with the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers in the race for the No.2 seed in the Eastern Conference as they visit the Chicago Bulls (45-34) at the United Center in Illinois on Wednesday. In today’s game, the Celtics are 6.5-point favorites against the Bulls. See more predictions in the Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.
BEST ODDS TO BET ON:
- Underdogs: Bulls +6.5 (-110)
- Celtics vs Bulls Over/Under: 225 points
For the best odds for today’s games, check out LynxBet!
The Bulls (41-37-1 ATS) are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games and 6-13 SU in the same number of matches. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago’s last 13 outings when playing at home against Boston even as the Bulls are 5-1 SU in their last six contests played on a Wednesday.
The Celtics (40-37-2 ATS) went 13-3 SU in their last 16 matches and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 contests even as the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston’s last 13 games when playing on the road against Chicago. Boston went 8-2 in its last 10 contests and are coming off back-to-back wins, including a 144-102 victory over the Washington Wizards on Sunday.
Chicago has lost its last two games and five of its last eight after coming off a 106-127 setback at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. The Bulls might have to win this game without All-Star guard Zach Lavine, who was listed as probable due to a knee injury even as guards Alex Caruso (back) and Lonzo Ball (knee) remain out with injuries.
Final Predictions and Picks:
- Spread — 118 Boston Celtics – 110 Chicago Bulls
- Over/Under — OVER 225 points
For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!