Category: Betting from A to Z

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The Golden State Warriors (60-31) are ready to close out the series as they visit the Grizzlies (61-31) at the FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee, in Game 5 on Wednesday. In today’s game, the Dubs are tagged as 4-point favorites against the Grizzlies. See more predictions in the Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: Grizzlies +4 (-110)
• Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under: 218.5 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out LynxBet!!

The Grizzlies (58-33-1 ATS) are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games at home and are 4-1 ATS in their last five matches. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Memphis’ last 15 matches against Golden State, even as the Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five outings when playing at home against the Warriors.

The Warriors (45-42-4 ATS) went 12-2 SU in their last 14 contests but are just 1-5 ATS in their last six matches, even as the total has gone OVER in seven of Golden State’s last 10 outings. Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games when playing on the road against Memphis, but the Dubs are carrying a 101-98 victory in Game 4 to move just a win away from reaching the conference finals.

Memphis lost the last two games of the series and it will get more difficult if top scorer Ja Morant (knee) cannot heal in time to save their season. If Morant does not show up on the floor for Game 5, the Grizzlies will have to rely more on Desmond Bane (18.2 ppg) and Tyus Jones, Morant’s replacement in the starting lineup, who had 19 points, six rebounds and five assists in Game 4.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 106 Golden State Warriors – 100 Memphis Grizzlies
  
• Over/Under — OVER 218.5 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns (Game 5) Odds and Picks

Devin Booker scored 28 points on 11-of-20 shooting while DeAndre Ayton had 20 points and nine rebounds, as the Phoenix Suns found a way to win despite a subpar game from Chris Paul to crush the Dallas Mavericks, 110-80, and take a 3-2 lead in their Western Conference semifinals series.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

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The Boston Celtics (57-33) have momentum after a Game 4 win as they host the Milwaukee Bucks (57-34) in Game 5 at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, on Wednesday. In today’s game, the Celtics are tagged as 5.5-point favorites against the Bucks. See more predictions in the Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: Bucks +5.5 (-110)
• 76ers vs Heat Over/Under: 214.5 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out SpreadEx!

The Bucks (43-48 ATS) went 5-2 SU in their last seven games but are only 1-10 ATS in their last 11 against the Celtics. The total has gone UNDER in eight of Milwaukee’s last nine matches, even as the Bucks are 16-4 SU in their last 20 outings against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.

The Celtics (49-39-2 ATS) are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matches and 7-2 SU in their last nine, even as the total has gone OVER in nine of Boston’s last 13 outings against Milwaukee. Boston is 13-6 SU in its last 19 contests against an opponent in the Central Division, even as the Celtics are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.

Milwaukee dropped Game 4, 108-116, on Monday to relinquish homecourt to Boston anew, as the Bucks will need to steal one game in TD Garden to win this series. The Bucks will need more than just the usual numbers from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who norms 29.9 points, 11.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game, as Jrue Holiday (18.3 ppg), Bobby Portis (14.6 ppg, 9.1 rpg) and Brook Lopez (12.4 ppg, 1.2 bpg) need to step up in the absence of injured Khris Middleton (20.1 ppg) to win Game 5 on the road.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 108 Boston Celtics – 105 Milwaukee Bucks
  
• Over/Under — OVER 214.5 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns (Game 5) Odds and Picks

Devin Booker scored 28 points on 11-of-20 shooting while DeAndre Ayton had 20 points and nine rebounds, as the Phoenix Suns found a way to win despite a subpar game from Chris Paul to crush the Dallas Mavericks, 110-80, and take a 3-2 lead in their Western Conference semifinals series.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

Players from any sport cannot be blamed if they all agree that they are more relaxed and comfortable playing before their home fans. Cheering fans backing up the home team are not lost among the sports betting circles, with bookmakers recognizing that edge and raising the odds for bettors to convince that they have a sure winner.

Not all teams win every game on their home floor, but it raises their probabilities of emerging victorious instead of traveling on hostile territory. This is what home field advantage is all about.

The advantage home teams enjoy over visiting teams in almost every sport is basically called the home field advantage. From football to baseball to basketball and hockey, a loud crowd usually pumps up the hosts and lures more bettors to place their money on a sure bet.

PSYCHOLOGICAL EDGE, HOME COMFORTS CRUCIAL

Pessimists can always dismiss the homecourt advantage, saying that teams play basically with the exact measurements of a basketball court, stadium or arena in any part of the world that gives both teams equal chances of winning. But bookmakers, just like the home crowd, beg to disagree.

There are intangible factors, or non-physical aspects, that spur players on home teams to perform beyond their capabilities regardless of their position in the standings. Courts may be almost the same arena, but players are still particular on team facilities where they are more comfortable to practice and play.

The luxury of having no long hours of traveling and being comfortable in your home’s time zone are also big factors for players, aspects that sportsbooks are also particular with, especially if these teams have a distinct home record compared to its performance on the road.

HOME MLB TEAMS CARRY MORE THAN 50% SUCCESS

In a sport where all teams travel a lot for their regular season games, teams winning more than half of their matches in front of their fans can be a big deal, especially for bettors who place their money on their favorite teams.

Home teams won 52.94% of their home games, resulting in a 1,286-1143 win-loss record in the 2019 season, where teams played a total of 2,429 games.

Bettors should also be mindful of the pitching rotation of their favorite teams, as this determines how their team fares in the field they will be playing in and weather conditions players are more comfortable in.

FEWER GAMES, MORE SPOTLIGHT IN NFL

Unlike in the MLB, focus is tight on the limited number of games in the NFL as bettors pounce on any small detail to handicap their bets or make extensive research for their future bets.

There were 256 games played by all NFL teams in over 17 weeks of football in the 2020 NFL season just before the pandemic got worse around the world. The home teams back then carried a 127-128-1 record, resulting in a 49.61% win rate.

Before the pandemic, the home teams were 132-123-1, or a 51.56% winning rate, making the sub-500 winning percentage for home teams in the 2020 season as the first time in NFL history that the number dipped.

LONG STRETCHES OF HOME GAMES VITAL IN NBA

The NBA has a longer regular season than the NFL but still fewer than an MLB season, The long stretches of teams playing at home or being away on the road are vital to their overall performance should they battle for higher seeding for the playoffs.

Home teams posted a 729-501 record out of 1,230 games played during the 2018-19 season, resulting in the home team winning 59.27% of the time. The numbers here are vastly different from those in the NFL, with hoop stars showing more comfort without longer travel time, hotel stays and dealing with hostile fans.

But punters should still weigh on their handicapping process, as they have to consider the overall capabilities and weaknesses of each team.

Two teams that are evenly matched based on lineups will only get separation from sportsbooks due to the home field advantage, while the best team in the league that plays on the road and visits the worst team playing at home may still get that victory in most situations.

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The Phoenix Suns (70-22) are determined to bounce back from back-to-back losses as they host the Dallas Mavericks (58-34) in Game 5 at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona, on Tuesday. In today’s game, the Suns came out as 6-point favorites against the Mavericks. See more predictions in the Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: Mavericks +6 (-110)
• Mavericks vs Suns Over/Under: 213 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out SpreadEx!

The Mavericks (54-36-2 ATS) are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games and are 13-5 SU in their last 18 matches. The total has gone OVER in seven of Dallas’ last nine outings on the road, even as the Mavericks are 0-7 SU in their last seven contests when playing on the road against the Suns.

The Suns (50-42 ATS) went 4-2 SU in their last six games and 4-1 ATS in their last five at home even as the total has gone OVER in nine of Phoenix’s last 13 outings against an opponent in the Southwest Division. Phoenix absorbed a 101-111 loss in Game 4, making Game 5 a must-win for the hosts to regain homecourt advantage and a psychological edge in their bid to reach the conference finals.

Dallas completed their recovery from a 0-2 deficit by taking Games 3 and 4 before their home crowd to make the series a best-of-three affair. The Mavericks, aside from getting big numbers from All-Star guard Luka Doncic, should get another big game from guard Jalen Brunson, who dropped 28 points on 47.6% shooting aside from adding four rebounds, five assists, and no turnovers in Game 4.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 116 Phoenix Suns – 104 Dallas Mavericks
  
• Over/Under — OVER 213 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers (Game 3) Odds and Picks

Joel Embiid returned from a two-game absence to score 18 points and 11 rebounds, while Danny Green and Tyrese Maxey scored 21 points each to lead the Philadelphia 76ers past the Miami Heat, 99-79, to cut Miami’s lead to 2-1 in their Eastern Conference semifinals series.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks (Game 3) Odds and Picks

Luka Doncic tallied 26 points and 13 rebounds and the Dallas Mavericks turned their defensive pressure up a notch to foil the Phoenix Suns, 103-94, and cut the Suns’ lead to 2-1 in their Western Conference semifinals series.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

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Liverpool (25-8-2) wants to regain the momentum from their six-match winning streak, as they visit Aston Villa (13-4-17) at the Villa Park in Birmingham, England, on Tuesday.  In today’s game, the Reds are 1.5-point favorites against the Lions. See more predictions in Liverpool vs Aston Villa odds and picks in FBR’s Soccer Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: Lions +1.5 (-110)
• Reds vs Lions Over/Under: 350 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out 1XBET!

 

The Lions (15-17-2 ATS) have a 9-6-1 Over/Under home record and an overall O/U tally of 19-14-1, while they are 6-3-7 at Villa Park. Aston Villa has won its last two games, including a 3-1 decision over Burnley on Saturday.

The Reds (16-14-5 ATS) are 9-6-2 ATS away and have a 17-14-4 O/U overall record. Liverpool is 9-6-2 O/U Away and is coming off a 1-1 draw against Tottenham on Saturday that stopped their six-game winning streak. 

Aston Villa will be playing without Leon Bailey and Kortney Hause, while Jacob Ramsey is questionable coming into the match. The Lions have been over 2.5 goals in 62.5% of their games at Villa Park, with forward Ollie Watkins leading the way with 10 league goals.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 2 Liverpool – 1 Aston Villa
  
• Over/Under— OVER 350 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Brentford vs Manchester United Odds and Picks

Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes and Raphael Varane scored a goal each to power Manchester United to a 3-0 victory over Brentford to revive their chances of finishing within the top four and to qualify for the Champions’ League next season.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

The most interesting and crucial part of the NHL 2022-2023 season is underway as the best teams are ready to fight for the Stanley Cup.

Can Tampa Bay win their third title in a row? Can Alex Ovechkin win the Cup for the second time and secure second place in All-time goalscorers, beating Gordie Howe?

The Stanley Cup playoffs are always the best times among hockey bettors. More people from around the world watch these amazing matches, especially the Stanley Cup Final.

STATS VITAL IN NHL BETTING TRENDS

If we go to statistics, we can see that the home teams win 53.4% times, while away teams win at 46.6% times.

The margin between the favorites and the underdogs is huge (65% to 34%). According to these stats, it’s almost true that the favorite team will win the game.

This also goes with away favorites and away underdogs (64.9% to 35%) and on home favorites and home “‘dogs” (65.0% to 35%).

WHAT ABOUT OVER/UNDER TRENDS?

The Over/Under totals in the NHL are the estimated total number of goals scored by both teams in a game. You can bet on whether the final score will go under or over that expected tally.

The stats for all games are 663 Overs (53.0%) and 587 Unders (47.0%). Non-overtime games had 522 Overs (54.1%) and 443 Unders (45.9%). Overtime games stats are: 141 Overs (49.5%) and 144 Unders (50.5%).

The margins are super low for the Over/Under trends. You can decide on how to bet on matchups, injuries, live movements, referees, and trends.

There are more ways to bet in the NHL. For example, parlays, the 60-minute line, Live betting, prop bets, futures, and many more. You can use these strategies to choose how to bet on NHL games, matchups, injuries, live movements, referees, and noticeable trends. Make sure you cover all these tips, as you can be 100% positive on your NHL betting.

SEVENTH GAME TRENDS EXPLAINED

It is essential that home teams have an advantage for the seventh game in the playoffs, more so in the Stanley Cup final.

In 2016, the home teams won 15 of 27 matches.

Also, the perfect bet on Game 7s is the low amount of penalty time. This is the most profitable bet in the NHL play-offs since 2005.

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The Dallas Mavericks (56-34) are determined to avoid falling into a 0-3 hole as they host the Phoenix Suns (70-20) at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, on Friday. In today’s game, the Mavericks come out as a tight 0.5-point favorite against the Suns. See more predictions in the Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: Suns +0.5 (-110)
• Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Over/Under: 219.5 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out 1XBET!

The Suns (50-40 ATS) went 9-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Mavericks and are 5-1 SU in their last six. The total has gone OVER in four of Phoenix’s last five matches against an opponent in the Western Conference, even as the Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five contests on the road.

The Mavericks (52-36-2 ATS) are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven, even as the total has gone OVER in nine of Dallas’ last 11 matches played in May. Dallas lost the first two games of the series despite getting 35 points from All-Star Luka Doncic along with seven assists and five rebounds.

Phoenix shot an impressive 64% from the field and 13-of-25 from 3-point range in Game 2, numbers which the visitors hope to repeat, if not top, in Dallas in Game 3. Devin Booker, who hit five 3-pointers for 30 points, along with Chris Paul, who had 28 points and eight assists, are expected to lead the Suns’ attack anew.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 116 Phoenix Suns – 108 Dallas Mavericks
  
• Over/Under — OVER 219.5 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat (Game 2) Odds and Picks

Bam Adebayo dominated inside with 23 points and nine rebounds, Jimmy Butler had 22 points and 12 assists while Victor Oladipo added 19 points off the bench on his 30th birthday to help the Miami Heat beat the Philadelphia 76ers, 119-103, to take a 2-0 lead in their Eastern Conference semifinals series.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns (Game 2) Odds and Picks

Devin Booker scored 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting while Chris Paul had 14 of his 28 points in the fourth quarter as the Phoenix Suns repeated over the Dallas Mavericks, 129-109,  to take a 2-0 lead in their Western Conference semifinals series.

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

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The Miami Heat (59-30) are poised to sustain their hot run into the playoffs despite going on the road as they visit the 76ers (55-35) at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Friday. In today’s game, the Heat emerged as slight 3-point favorites against the 76ers. See more predictions in the Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers odds and picks in FBR’s NBA Predictions series.

BEST ODDS TO BET ON:

• Underdogs: 76ers +3 (-110)
• 76ers vs Heat Over/Under: 210 points

For the best odds for today’s games, check out 888Starz!

The 76ers (42-47-1 ATS) are 5-0 SU in their last five games played on a Friday but are just 1-4 ATS in their last five. The total has gone OVER in four of Philadelphia’s last five matches when playing at home against Miami, even as the 76ers went 2-4 ATS in their last six outings played in May.

The Heat (51-37-1 ATS) went 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games and 6-1 SU in their last seven, even as the total has gone UNDER in six of Miami’s last seven matches. Miami pretty much dominated the first two games of the series at home but will need stronger performances from Jimmy Butler (21.4 points per game), Bam Adebayo (19.1 ppg, 10.1 rpg) and Sixth Man of the Year winner Tyler Herro (20.7 ppg) if the Heat want to move a win closer from reaching the conference finals.

Philadelphia should look at Game 3 as a must-win situation to avoid going into a 0-3 hole in the series. The status of MVP contender Joel Embiid, who averages 30.6 points and 11.7 rebounds during the regular season is filled with uncertainty among the 76ers, who will need more from All-Star guard James Harden (21.0 ppg, 7.1 rpg, 10.5 apg), Tyrese Maxey (17.5 ppg) and Tobias Harris (17.2 ppg, 6.8 rpg) to extend the series.

Final Predictions and Picks:

• Spread — 112 Miami Heat – 106 Philadelphia 76ers
  
• Over/Under — OVER 210 points

A look at last time’s predictions: 

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat (Game 2) Odds and Picks

Bam Adebayo dominated inside with 23 points and nine rebounds, Jimmy Butler had 22 points and q12 assists while Victor Oladipo added 19 points off the bench on his 30th birthday to help the Miami Heat beat the Philadelphia 76ers, 119-103, to take a 2-0 lead in their Eastern Conference semifinals series.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns (Game 2) Odds and Picks

Devin Booker scored 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting while Chris Paul had 14 of his 28 points in the fourth quarter as the Phoenix Suns repeated over the Dallas Mavericks, 129-109,  to take a 2-0 lead in their Western Conference semifinals series. 

For more predictions, check out our predictions series where FBR covers the biggest games of major sports!

The normal depiction of a “layoff” is for an employee being removed by his or her employer from work due to a company’s mismanagement issues or a bad financial situation. The concept of a “layoff” in sports betting is quite different but it’s also not totally depicted in a positive way.

A sportsbook that places a wager with another bookmaker to help cut its liability on a certain game or to just balance out the action is called a “layoff.”

Let’s check out as to why sportsbooks try to avoid a layoff as much as possible in critical times, inasmuch as bookies cannot ap[pear to be weak and vulnerable in front of their users.

WHEN BOOKMAKERS NEED EACH OTHER TO SURVIVE

The rise of multiple sportsbooks around the world may get new bettors to assume that they come up with the smartest promotions and bonus offers, as well as the best odds to top the other and gain more profit. But there are time the bookies come around to help each other to cope with a barrage of bets.

Picture an overwhelming favorite like the Boston Celtics during the 1960s and 1970s, and they were sure bets to win the NBA championship every year back then. When almost all of the bettors place their money on a sportsbook, a certain fear goes into the bookie, knowing that an eventual Boston win will have them lose a great amount of money.

To avoid this, sportsbooks go to another sportsbook to place a big bet on the Celtics to try and even out the money just in case the public was right on the money with their pick.

DISTRACT BETTORS AWAY FROM POPULAR BETS

A star-studded team like the 2008 Celtics led by Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen and a rising point guard in Rajon Rondo were just too much for bettors to ignore from not winning a championship immediately in their first year.

For situations like these, sportsbooks often place unfavorable odds for these teams that are almost certain to be a lock of winning to protect their profits. Bettors then will be forced to place a huge amount of money down, which creates high risks for punters and scare them away from making their bet.

Bookies also put out spreads on games giving a team a certain edge or disadvantage on a game, which tends to even the betting field. And lastly, bookmakers do move the line in one direction or the other to try to lure the bettor to go in another direction, which can help ensure that there is a near splot on the action.

BETTORS SHOULD MANAGE SPORTSBOOK LAYOFF ACCOUNT

Even if a bettor is convinced that he has a popular bet for him to win, he should learn to create layoff rules and keep things in perspective. A punter should be smart enough to decide if laying off 100 US dollars to ensure he earns 10 US dollars is smarter than not laying off and hoping he loses.

Punters should always remember that they do not get juice, or vig, on moneyline bets. Instead, bettors should manage moneyline bets by capping how much players can wager. A bettor can use their layoff account as a betting account, and some punters can succeed in this set-up but this can also be a slippery slope.

For a sports betting bookie, he or she can get caught up making more wages than managing their business, which can lead to more problems than trying to figure out when and when not to use that layoff account.

BOOKIES AVOID LAYOFF BETS ON PUNTERS

Most sportsbooks avoid placing a layoff bet since a layoff bet is possible from the sportsbooks. The bookies still believe that they can get back their money every time the majority of the bettors are wrong with their popular bets.

Most established bookmakers have the bankroll to take a hit when the public gets it right on a popular bet winning it all. But it’s still a flip of the coin scenario, since the majority is not always right in terms of sticking to popular choices, a risk bookies are ready to take.

Sure, bookmakers collect the 10% fee on vig to pay off winning bets, but it can only pay so much if many bettors win. But massive wagers like something worth 1 million US dollars prompt bookmakers to place a security blanket and go for a layoff with another sportsbook.